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GEOPOLITIK DAN GEOSTRATEGI FORECASTING BLUE ECONOMY DALAM MENINGKATKAN GROSS NATIONAL INCOME DAN MEMPERKUAT PERTAHANAN NEGARA MEWUJUDKAN POROS MARITIM DUNIA



Ideally, a nation-state can be named a developed and prosperous country (highincome country), when its GNI (Gross National Income) per capita is > US$ 12,695 (World Bank, 2021). However, Indonesia's development status is categorized as a high-middle income country, with a GNI (Gross National Income) per capita of only US$ 4,140 in 2021. The Economic Growth Rate which is still below 7%,the High Unemployment Rate, the Poverty Rate, and the Gini Coefficient are also problems that should be able to achieve indicators as a developed country, economic growth must be able to touch the percentage of 6-7% on an annual basis (Year on Year) (Bappenas, 2022). The Unemployment Rate with a percentage of 5.83% and a poverty rate of 9.54% in 2022 is also a Geoeconomic Phenomenon of Indonesia which affects Indonesia's Global Geopolitical position in the maritime region should be able to be covered with the potential of a very promising blue economy. The problem studied aims to find out about Forecasting the future of Indonesia's Blue Economy which will be studied and the Geostrategy of the Blue Economy in Increasing Gross National Income and Strengthening State Defense Realizing the World Maritime Axis.This research uses a mixed method with the type of sequential explanatory research with two-parameter holt exponential smoothing techniques, linear regression and qualitative analysis techniques miles and huberman. The results showed that based on the results of data processing of Blue Economy GDP Forecasting through 7 subsectors from 2021-2050 using the Two-Parameter Exponential Smoothing technique (Holt) and Blue Economy GDP Forecasting through the Fisheries sector with 2007-2020 time series data using linear regression analysis techniques, has promising forecasting results until 2050 and Blue Economy Geostrategy in Increasing Gross National Income, Realizing the World Maritime Axis and Strengthening National Defense is carried out through aspects of the Geostrategy for the Expansion of Marine Protected Areas, Geostrategy for Measured Fisheries based on Catch Zones, Geostrategy for the Development of Marine, Coastal and Freshwater Aquaculture, Geostrategy for the Management of Marine Debris into Economic Value, Geostrategy for Sustainable Management of Coastal and Small Islands, and seen from the Geostrategy aspects of the World Maritime Axis and National Defense against the China One Belt-One Road (OBOR) Initiative.


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Informasi Detil

Judul Seri
-
No. Panggil
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Penerbit Universitas Pertahanan Republik Indonesia : Bogor.,
Deskripsi Fisik
-
Bahasa
Indonesia
ISBN/ISSN
-
Klasifikasi
NONE
Fakultas
Manajemen Pertahanan
Program Studi
S-2 Ekonomi Pertahanan
Tipe Pembawa
-
Edisi
-
Subyek
NIM
120210203016

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